歴史の方程式-科学は大事件を予知できるかを通販で購入する(通信販売で予約する)

目次はこんな感じです。

第一の原因
地震ゲーム
滑稽な論理
歴史の偶然
運命の分かれ道
磁石論
臨界的思考
殺戮の時
生命のネットワーク
ワイルド・アット・ハート
意思に逆らう
学問の地震
数の問題
歴史の問題
非科学的なあとがき

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[2005-12-06の販売ランキングへ飛ぶ]
[2005-12-06の人気足跡へ飛ぶ]

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レビュー

内容（「MARC」データベースより）

地震、山火事などの自然現象も、景気循環、都市の発達などの人間の意志が介在する事象も、自然界に遍在する「冪乗則」という、同じ法則に従って起こっている! 物理科学で人間社会の出来事までも読み解く知的探求の書。

Amazon.co.uk

First came James Gleick's Chaos, then Roger Lewin's Complexity, and now we have Mark Buchanan's fascinating new book Ubiquity. One of the most interesting discoveries made by complexity theorists is that some systems seem to exhibit rather curious but mathematically similar behaviours when poised in what has come to be known as the "critical state". A pile of sand in the moments before an avalanche occurs somewhere on its surface seems to be in such a state and the magnitudes of avalanches measured over a period of time can be described using a mathematical equation called a power function. A power function description in this particular context implies that the timing and magnitude of avalanches on the surface of the sand pile will be utterly unpredictable.

This key insight into the behaviour of certain types of system forms the basis for the rest of the book. What if, for instance, the Earth's crust is in something approximating a critical state and earthquakes timings and magnitudes similar in distribution to avalanches on a sand pile? This would imply that earthquake prediction is virtually impossible, an important conclusion given that huge amounts of money continue to be spent in numerous countries around the world for this very purpose.

And what if extinction in the fossil record, stock market fluctuations or tumultuous events in human history are also explicable in terms of critical state theory? If so, then we may be on the verge of "a new science of history". Are critical state theo

↓↓↓↓歴史の方程式-科学は大事件を予知できるか↓↓↓↓をamazon.co.jpで購入する
歴史の方程式-科学は大事件を予知できるか
↑↑↑↑歴史の方程式-科学は大事件を予知できるか↑↑↑↑をamazon.co.jpで購入する